Real Madriz vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
52.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
REA
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
DIR
3 - 0
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
REA
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
REA
5 - 0
CFC
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 2
JAP
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 0
CFC
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
WAL
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
WAL
0 - 1
DIR
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
WAL
4 - 1
MAN
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |