Real Madriz vs Chinandega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
JAP
2 - 1
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
UNA
1 - 1
REA
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
WAL
22%
24%
53%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
REA
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
REA
0 - 0
JUV
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chinandega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
3 - 1
JUV
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
DIR
1 - 0
CFC
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
UNA
29%
28%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 0
EST
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 2
CFC
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |