Real Madriz vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SCO
2 - 9
REA
37%
26%
36%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
REA
5 - 2
FCS
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MAS
2 - 1
REA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
REA
3 - 1
DIR
37%
27%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
EST
2 - 0
REA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
JAP
1 - 1
EST
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BLU
2 - 0
JAP
39%
25%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
JAP
3 - 2
DIR
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
JAP
1 - 0
WAL
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
AMA
3 - 0
JAP
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |