Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 7-1
Real Madrid vs Wiener SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.63
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
VCF
1 - 1
RMA
33%
24%
43%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
RMA
4 - 0
OVI
89%
8%
4%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1959 |
WIE
0 - 0
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
ATM
2 - 1
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
RMA
1 - 0
FCB
64%
18%
18%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wiener SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
LBN
2 - 4
WIE
20%
21%
59%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1959 |
WIE
6 - 2
AWM
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1959 |
WIE
0 - 0
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1959 |
WIE
0 - 3
WIE
43%
22%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
VIE
1 - 3
WIE
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |