Real Madrid vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
LYO
1 - 0
RMA
38%
26%
36%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
XER
0 - 3
RMA
14%
21%
65%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
RMA
3 - 0
ESP
82%
12%
6%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
DEP
1 - 3
RMA
27%
26%
48%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
RMA
2 - 0
MAL
82%
12%
6%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
WOL
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
ATH
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MLL
1 - 0
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 2
OSA
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
4 - 2
ZAR
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |