Real Madrid vs Vigo Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.2%
Win probability
4
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1%
8-0
2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.4%
7-0
3.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.8%
6-0
6.8%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.7%
5-0
10.2%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.5%
4-0
12.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
4.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.3%
1.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
RMA
1 - 0
FCV
95%
4%
1%
|
83 | 18 | 65 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1907 |
RMA
5 - 0
HAM
95%
4%
1%
|
83 | 10 | 73 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1907 |
RMA
3 - 1
RVS
95%
4%
1%
|
83 | 23 | 60 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1907 |
FCV
3 - 2
RMA
5%
16%
80%
|
83 | 15 | 68 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1906 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATH
64%
19%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vigo Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1907 |
RVS
2 - 1
HAM
92%
6%
2%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1907 |
RVS
2 - 1
FCV
82%
11%
7%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1907 |
RMA
3 - 1
RVS
95%
4%
1%
|
23 | 83 | 60 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1907 |
RVS
3 - 3
REC
8%
18%
74%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | +1 |