Europa League Final
Global 3-1
Real Madrid vs Fehérvár analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1985 |
RMA
1 - 1
FCB
48%
25%
26%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1985 |
FCB
2 - 2
RMA
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1985 |
FHV
0 - 3
RMA
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1985 |
RMA
3 - 0
INT
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
RMA
0 - 1
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fehérvár
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1985 |
FHV
0 - 3
RMA
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1985 |
ZEL
2 - 1
FHV
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
FHV
3 - 1
ZEL
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1985 |
FHV
1 - 0
MUD
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1985 |
MUD
1 - 0
FHV
83%
12%
6%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |