Real Madrid vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.7%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 3
RMA
17%
20%
63%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
ROM
2 - 2
RMA
32%
23%
45%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
RBS
0 - 1
RMA
36%
24%
40%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
RMA
5 - 3
FEN
84%
11%
5%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
RMA
0 - 1
TOT
68%
18%
15%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BET
1 - 2
VAD
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
BRE
2 - 1
VAD
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
VAD
2 - 0
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
MLL
2 - 2
VAD
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
GRA
2 - 1
VAD
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |