Real Madrid vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1989 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
89%
9%
3%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1989 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATM
81%
12%
7%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
ELC
1 - 3
RMA
9%
21%
70%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
RMA
3 - 0
ESP
89%
8%
3%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1989 |
ATM
0 - 2
RMA
42%
25%
33%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
VAD
1 - 0
ESP
54%
27%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
MAL
0 - 0
VAD
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1989 |
VAD
2 - 0
DEP
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1989 |
VAD
1 - 0
CAD
57%
25%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1989 |
DEP
1 - 0
VAD
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |