Real Madrid vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.4%
Win probability
4.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.4%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.8%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.5%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
5.1%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.1%
2.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
FCB
3 - 5
RMA
70%
15%
15%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
RMA
7 - 0
OVI
93%
5%
2%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 1
RMA
71%
15%
14%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
MLL
1 - 1
RMA
11%
19%
70%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
RMA
5 - 1
ZAR
92%
5%
2%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
VAD
4 - 0
GRA
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
SEV
4 - 0
VAD
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
VAD
2 - 2
VCF
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
ESP
1 - 2
VAD
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
VAD
2 - 1
ELC
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |