Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 8-3
Real Madrid vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
RSO
1 - 2
RMA
42%
22%
36%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
RMA
5 - 0
RSO
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1956 |
ACM
2 - 1
RMA
58%
20%
23%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
VCF
2 - 1
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1956 |
RMA
4 - 2
ACM
67%
16%
17%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
CEL
2 - 1
VAD
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
VAD
6 - 0
CEL
61%
19%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
ATH
3 - 0
VAD
86%
9%
5%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
VAD
4 - 2
CEL
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
VCF
5 - 1
VAD
76%
14%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |