Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Real Madrid vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
RMA
1 - 0
VAD
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
ATM
2 - 4
RMA
45%
21%
33%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
DEP
3 - 3
RMA
27%
23%
50%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
RMA
5 - 1
CEL
81%
11%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
FCB
2 - 2
RMA
68%
16%
16%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATM
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 1
ATM
53%
21%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATM
51%
21%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
VAD
2 - 3
ATM
53%
21%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
RMA
1 - 0
VAD
83%
11%
6%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |