Real Madrid vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.8%
11.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
GIM
0 - 3
RMA
37%
23%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
RMA
2 - 2
ATH
61%
18%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
RMA
1 - 0
CEL
70%
16%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
MAL
1 - 3
RMA
34%
23%
43%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
VAD
0 - 1
ATM
36%
23%
41%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
VAD
3 - 2
VCF
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
VAD
3 - 0
GIM
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
OVI
2 - 2
VAD
65%
17%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
VAD
6 - 2
ATH
29%
22%
49%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |