Real Madrid vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
9.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
ATH
2 - 3
RMA
70%
16%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
RMA
1 - 2
ATM
55%
21%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
VCF
4 - 4
RMA
68%
17%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
RMA
1 - 2
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
SAB
1 - 2
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
VAD
2 - 1
OVI
38%
22%
41%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
ESP
5 - 1
VAD
72%
15%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
VAD
2 - 0
SEV
28%
22%
50%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
VAD
4 - 2
CEL
31%
22%
48%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
ATH
7 - 2
VAD
87%
8%
5%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |