Real Madrid vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
RMA
25%
23%
52%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
CPC
0 - 1
RMA
2%
10%
88%
|
93 | 48 | 45 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
VAD
0 - 2
RMA
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
0 - 0
GET
86%
11%
4%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
1 - 1
LEG
90%
8%
2%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
VCF
0 - 1
CAD
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
NUC
0 - 3
VCF
6%
18%
76%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
VCF
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
VCF
1 - 3
AZA
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
VCF
1 - 2
NTT
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |