Real Madrid vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2000 |
RMA
0 - 1
VAD
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
BET
0 - 2
RMA
26%
25%
49%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
BYM
2 - 1
RMA
62%
21%
17%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
RMA
0 - 1
ALA
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
RMA
2 - 0
BYM
42%
25%
34%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2000 |
VCF
2 - 1
ZAR
68%
19%
14%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
CEL
0 - 0
VCF
43%
26%
31%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2000 |
FCB
2 - 1
VCF
61%
21%
18%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
VCF
4 - 0
RSO
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2000 |
VCF
4 - 1
FCB
48%
24%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |