Real Madrid vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1970 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
81%
12%
8%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1970 |
ATH
0 - 2
RMA
53%
23%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1970 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATH
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1970 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1970 |
RMA
2 - 0
FCB
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1970 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
81%
12%
8%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1970 |
ZAR
1 - 0
VCF
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1970 |
VCF
2 - 0
ZAR
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
RCF
2 - 3
VCF
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1970 |
VCF
1 - 1
RCF
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |