Real Madrid vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
5 - 0
RSO
95%
4%
1%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ATM
1 - 0
RMA
32%
24%
44%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
4 - 0
SDL
89%
7%
4%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 0
MLL
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
18%
23%
60%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
VCF
2 - 2
ATH
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1962 |
INT
3 - 3
VCF
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1962 |
FCB
4 - 0
VCF
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
VCF
5 - 1
RSO
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
SEV
2 - 0
VCF
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |