Real Madrid vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 0
RMA
36%
23%
42%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
RMA
4 - 0
SPO
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
VAD
4 - 3
RMA
32%
23%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
RMA
6 - 0
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
RSO
3 - 6
RMA
43%
23%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
VCF
4 - 2
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
VCF
5 - 2
CEL
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SPO
5 - 2
VCF
29%
24%
48%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
VCF
3 - 3
VAD
79%
13%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
RJA
3 - 1
VCF
31%
23%
46%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | -1 |