Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 8-3
Real Madrid vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
RMA
1 - 1
MAL
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
CEL
2 - 2
RMA
57%
19%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
RMA
0 - 1
RAC
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
VAD
0 - 1
RMA
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
RMA
6 - 0
MUR
80%
12%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
VCF
0 - 1
CEL
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
RAC
0 - 2
VCF
40%
22%
38%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
VCF
4 - 1
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
MUR
2 - 4
VCF
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATM
64%
18%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |