Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 6-2
Real Madrid vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.5%
10.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
SPO
0 - 5
RMA
36%
23%
42%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
RMA
8 - 0
SPO
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1933 |
RMA
9 - 0
RUN
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
RUN
0 - 2
RMA
42%
22%
36%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
RAC
1 - 1
RMA
43%
22%
35%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1933 |
VCF
4 - 1
BET
58%
20%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1933 |
VCF
2 - 1
ATM
61%
18%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1933 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
ATM
3 - 4
VCF
56%
20%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1933 |
BET
4 - 2
VCF
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |