Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-1
Real Madrid vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
SPO
1 - 1
RMA
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1982 |
RMA
1 - 0
RSO
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
RMA
1 - 0
MAL
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
RMA
5 - 2
BAI
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
UJP
3 - 1
GÖT
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
GÖT
1 - 1
UJP
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
RSO
1 - 0
UJP
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1980 |
UJP
1 - 1
RSO
52%
23%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
DUK
2 - 0
UJP
53%
22%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |