Real Madrid vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
HER
2 - 3
RMA
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
RMA
2 - 0
RAC
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1977 |
RMA
5 - 1
RAC
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
CAD
1 - 0
RMA
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1977 |
RAC
0 - 0
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 0
UDL
57%
21%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
UDL
4 - 2
ESP
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
UDL
1 - 0
ESP
63%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
SEV
1 - 0
UDL
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1977 |
UDL
4 - 1
MAL
82%
12%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |