Real Madrid vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
RMA
3 - 0
RJA
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
FCB
0 - 2
RMA
61%
19%
21%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
RMA
2 - 1
VCF
82%
11%
7%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1958 |
RMA
8 - 0
SEV
80%
12%
8%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
SEV
3 - 2
RMA
34%
24%
43%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
UDL
3 - 0
ATM
32%
24%
44%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
UDL
2 - 1
RJA
57%
21%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
CEL
2 - 2
UDL
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
FCB
2 - 0
UDL
89%
8%
4%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
UDL
1 - 0
ESP
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |