Real Madrid vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
RSO
1 - 3
RMA
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
RMA
1 - 2
VCF
62%
19%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
FCB
3 - 1
RMA
74%
14%
12%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1954 |
RMA
1 - 0
FCB
62%
19%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
RMA
3 - 0
RAC
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
VCF
4 - 0
UDL
86%
9%
5%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
UDL
4 - 1
ATM
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
RSO
4 - 1
UDL
80%
12%
8%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
UDL
0 - 0
RSO
43%
23%
34%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
CDT
0 - 0
UDL
58%
21%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |