Real Madrid vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
RMA
5 - 2
SEV
68%
17%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
RAC
0 - 3
RMA
38%
22%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
RMA
4 - 1
CEL
71%
15%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
RMA
3 - 2
DEP
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RMA
28%
23%
49%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
ZAR
6 - 0
UDL
60%
18%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
UDL
0 - 2
FCB
27%
22%
51%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
SPO
4 - 1
UDL
65%
17%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
UDL
1 - 0
RSO
26%
22%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
VAD
4 - 1
UDL
75%
14%
11%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |