Champions League Semi-finals
Global 6-0
Real Madrid vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.4%
3.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 0
MLL
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ESP
1 - 1
RMA
18%
23%
60%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 2
OSA
91%
6%
3%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1962 |
RMA
3 - 1
JUV
83%
10%
7%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1962 |
RMA
0 - 1
JUV
84%
10%
6%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
CER
2 - 1
SDL
24%
24%
53%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
AND
2 - 0
SDL
60%
20%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
SDL
3 - 1
EEA
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1962 |
GLA
2 - 0
SDL
54%
21%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
LIE
2 - 1
SDL
31%
24%
46%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |