Real Madrid vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
RMA
3 - 2
ZAR
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
CEL
1 - 5
RMA
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1986 |
INT
3 - 1
RMA
46%
27%
28%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
UDL
4 - 3
RMA
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
RMA
2 - 1
VAD
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
SPO
3 - 0
VAD
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
CAD
0 - 0
SPO
43%
30%
27%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
SPO
1 - 1
FCB
28%
26%
47%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
HER
0 - 1
SPO
44%
30%
26%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
SPO
2 - 1
SEV
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |