Real Madrid vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
RSO
2 - 2
RMA
23%
23%
54%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
SEV
2 - 2
RMA
31%
23%
46%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
RMA
2 - 1
UDL
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
RMA
3 - 0
RJA
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
FCB
0 - 2
RMA
61%
19%
21%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
SPO
1 - 0
RJA
67%
18%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
FCB
3 - 0
SPO
87%
8%
4%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
SPO
1 - 3
VCF
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
SEV
1 - 2
SPO
72%
16%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
SPO
5 - 1
GRA
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |