Real Madrid vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
VAD
4 - 3
RMA
32%
23%
45%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
RMA
6 - 0
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
RSO
3 - 6
RMA
43%
23%
35%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATM
71%
16%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
FCB
5 - 1
RMA
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SPO
5 - 2
VCF
29%
24%
48%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
CEL
5 - 2
SPO
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
SPO
0 - 1
ESP
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SPO
3 - 1
VAD
46%
24%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
RJA
6 - 1
SPO
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |