Real Madrid vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
RSO
1 - 1
RMA
31%
22%
47%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
RMA
1 - 4
CEL
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
FCB
4 - 2
RMA
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
RMA
4 - 0
SAB
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
RMA
1 - 3
GIM
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
SPO
3 - 2
GIM
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
ALC
6 - 1
SPO
54%
20%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 1
OVI
42%
22%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
ATH
0 - 0
SPO
81%
11%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
SPO
1 - 4
VCF
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |