Real Madrid vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RMA
0 - 0
RAY
82%
13%
5%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
38%
25%
37%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 2
RMA
13%
20%
68%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SEV
1 - 1
RMA
18%
22%
60%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RMA
4 - 0
OSA
79%
15%
7%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SPB
6 - 1
POR
77%
16%
8%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GFC
3 - 3
SPB
16%
20%
65%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 2
RMA
13%
20%
68%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
REB
0 - 2
SPB
5%
15%
80%
|
88 | 43 | 45 | 0 |