Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Real Madrid vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
RMA
4 - 2
BET
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
RSO
3 - 1
RMA
46%
26%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
0 - 0
RMA
31%
26%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
RMA
3 - 0
UDL
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
OSA
1 - 2
RMA
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
0 - 0
RMA
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
ESB
2 - 0
SPA
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 0
ESB
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
4 - 0
JEU
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
JEU
0 - 5
SPA
28%
22%
50%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |