Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Real Madrid vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
BET
1 - 2
RMA
27%
26%
46%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
RMA
0 - 2
VCF
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
49%
25%
27%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
RMA
0 - 0
ATH
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ESP
0 - 4
RMA
34%
26%
41%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1967 |
AND
3 - 3
SPA
73%
16%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1967 |
SPA
3 - 2
AND
40%
23%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
SPA
1 - 1
SKE
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
SKE
0 - 1
SPA
49%
23%
29%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPA
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |