Supercopa Final
Global 3-6
Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
39%
24%
37%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
RMA
3 - 1
MLL
76%
16%
9%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
ZAR
2 - 2
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
RMA
3 - 1
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
REC
2 - 3
RMA
21%
25%
55%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
SEV
2 - 0
AEK
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
39%
24%
37%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
SEV
1 - 0
GET
72%
17%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
SEV
0 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
MLL
0 - 0
SEV
29%
27%
44%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |