Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1967 |
INT
1 - 0
RMA
53%
23%
25%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RMA
47%
24%
29%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
RMA
2 - 0
GRA
87%
10%
4%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
ESP
2 - 3
RMA
25%
27%
48%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
RMA
2 - 0
PON
86%
10%
4%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
UDL
1 - 2
SEV
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
SEV
3 - 1
ZAR
24%
26%
51%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
GRA
0 - 0
SEV
35%
28%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1967 |
SEV
1 - 0
ESP
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
PON
3 - 0
SEV
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |