Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1964 |
FCB
1 - 2
RMA
39%
24%
38%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
RMA
3 - 1
ZAR
85%
10%
5%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1964 |
ATM
0 - 1
RMA
29%
25%
47%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
RMA
4 - 1
MUR
91%
6%
2%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
PON
1 - 0
RMA
10%
20%
70%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
SEV
1 - 0
ELC
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
ATH
3 - 0
SEV
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1964 |
SEV
1 - 1
OVI
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
LEV
1 - 1
SEV
41%
24%
36%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
VAD
2 - 2
SEV
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |