Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
4.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
VCF
2 - 1
RMA
27%
24%
49%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 1
OVI
90%
7%
3%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
VAD
4 - 2
RMA
17%
22%
62%
|
94 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
RMA
6 - 1
ELC
90%
7%
3%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
MAL
0 - 4
RMA
12%
20%
67%
|
94 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
SEV
2 - 0
BET
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
ATH
2 - 0
SEV
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1962 |
SEV
2 - 1
MLL
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
OSA
0 - 0
SEV
48%
21%
30%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
SEV
3 - 1
CCF
74%
16%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |