Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
22.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
DEP
2 - 2
RMA
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
RMA
3 - 0
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
OVI
4 - 0
RMA
60%
19%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
SEV
6 - 0
SPO
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
MUR
3 - 1
SEV
36%
24%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
SEV
4 - 0
SAB
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
CAS
2 - 2
SEV
41%
23%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
SEV
4 - 1
GRA
75%
14%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |