Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ATH
3 - 2
RMA
67%
17%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
RMA
2 - 1
OVI
72%
15%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
ESP
4 - 2
RMA
47%
23%
30%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
RMA
1 - 3
ATM
68%
17%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
CEL
2 - 1
RMA
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
SEV
3 - 2
GRA
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
VCF
4 - 2
SEV
73%
15%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1942 |
ATH
5 - 0
SEV
73%
15%
13%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
SEV
0 - 5
OVI
71%
15%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
ESP
1 - 2
SEV
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |