Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
DEP
1 - 0
RMA
29%
23%
48%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
RMA
4 - 3
FCB
71%
16%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
ATH
1 - 0
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
RMA
5 - 2
GRA
91%
6%
3%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
RSO
2 - 3
RMA
35%
23%
42%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
SEV
2 - 2
CEL
76%
13%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 1
SEV
59%
19%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
SEV
7 - 2
HER
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
CAS
1 - 1
SEV
12%
17%
71%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1941 |
SEV
10 - 0
OVI
70%
16%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |