Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 1
FCB
73%
15%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1936 |
HER
2 - 1
RMA
30%
23%
47%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1936 |
RMA
7 - 0
HER
83%
11%
7%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATH
64%
17%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1936 |
RMA
6 - 1
ARE
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1939 |
SEV
6 - 2
RCF
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1939 |
ALA
1 - 1
SEV
42%
22%
36%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1939 |
SEV
6 - 5
ALA
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
SEV
4 - 1
AVI
87%
9%
4%
|
77 | 26 | 51 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
AVI
2 - 0
SEV
19%
20%
61%
|
77 | 24 | 53 | 0 |