Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1927 |
EXT
1 - 7
RMA
15%
21%
64%
|
78 | 7 | 71 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
SEV
2 - 1
RMA
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
RMA
9 - 4
EXT
88%
8%
4%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1926 |
FCB
3 - 0
RMA
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
RMA
1 - 5
FCB
45%
23%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1927 |
SEV
6 - 0
EXT
85%
10%
5%
|
76 | 8 | 68 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
SEV
2 - 1
RMA
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
EXT
2 - 11
SEV
13%
20%
66%
|
76 | 8 | 68 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
RMA
2 - 3
SEV
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
SEV
3 - 0
MUR
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |