Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
MUR
1 - 2
RMA
28%
24%
49%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
SEV
0 - 1
RMA
44%
23%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
RMA
6 - 2
MUR
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1924 |
RUN
1 - 0
RMA
29%
23%
48%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1924 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATH
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
SEV
3 - 0
MUR
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
SEV
0 - 1
RMA
44%
23%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1926 |
MUR
2 - 2
SEV
34%
24%
43%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1925 |
ATM
3 - 2
SEV
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1925 |
SEV
1 - 0
ATM
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |