Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-1
Real Madrid vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
RCF
1 - 3
RMA
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
RMA
4 - 1
RCF
83%
10%
6%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
RMA
6 - 0
CEL
73%
15%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
ATM
3 - 1
RMA
55%
21%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
HER
2 - 3
RMA
26%
27%
48%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
SDC
2 - 1
RSO
39%
23%
38%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
JFC
3 - 0
SDC
66%
19%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
SDC
5 - 2
SAB
37%
23%
40%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
SLA
4 - 1
SDC
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 1946 |
SDC
4 - 0
MLL
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |