Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 9-1
Real Madrid vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
ESP
2 - 0
RMA
48%
22%
29%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
RMA
4 - 1
OVI
67%
17%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
SDC
0 - 4
RMA
34%
24%
42%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
SPO
0 - 1
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
RMA
2 - 1
MUR
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1945 |
SDC
1 - 1
JFC
52%
21%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
CUL
3 - 1
SDC
60%
20%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
SDC
0 - 4
RMA
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
ZAR
4 - 1
SDC
66%
18%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
SDC
2 - 1
CEL
43%
22%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |