Champions League Last 16
Global 9-2
Real Madrid vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 1
RMA
7%
14%
79%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RMA
3 - 0
LEV
92%
6%
2%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 2
RMA
19%
21%
60%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
S04
1 - 6
RMA
11%
17%
72%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
RMA
3 - 0
ELC
93%
5%
2%
|
97 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
AUG
1 - 2
S04
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
S04
4 - 0
HOF
62%
20%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BYM
5 - 1
S04
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
S04
1 - 6
RMA
11%
17%
72%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
S04
0 - 0
M05
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |