Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-0
Real Madrid vs UD Salamanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
RMA
4 - 2
VCF
60%
21%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
SEV
1 - 3
RMA
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
RMA
0 - 0
LOG
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
SLA
0 - 2
RMA
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
COM
1 - 2
RMA
22%
24%
54%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
UD Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
SLA
5 - 0
OSA
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
ECI
0 - 0
SLA
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
SLA
4 - 2
UDL
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
SLA
0 - 2
RMA
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
CDO
1 - 3
SLA
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |