Champions League Last 16
Global 2-4
Real Madrid vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
REC
2 - 3
RMA
21%
25%
54%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
RMA
0 - 1
GET
73%
17%
10%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 1
RMA
41%
25%
34%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BET
2 - 1
RMA
21%
25%
55%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RMA
7 - 0
VAD
77%
15%
9%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ROM
4 - 0
PAR
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
INT
1 - 1
ROM
60%
22%
18%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ROM
1 - 0
FIO
68%
20%
13%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
ROM
2 - 1
RMA
41%
25%
34%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 0
ROM
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |