Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-3
Real Madrid vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.2%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
RMA
4 - 1
ESP
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
VCF
0 - 3
RMA
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
RMA
4 - 1
BET
76%
15%
8%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
RMA
1 - 0
RSO
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
SPO
0 - 2
RMA
40%
27%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
MAL
2 - 0
REC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1986 |
REC
2 - 0
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
FCB
2 - 1
REC
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
REC
2 - 1
CAS
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
MUR
2 - 0
REC
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |